Two Log Kill

[TSofian@aol.com]

Project Members
There has been a bunch of talk about what percentage would be killed in the
War.

I used a 95 to 99% kill in the five years after the war.

Here are some reasons:
AIDS and AIDS related illnesses.  These will decimate Asia and Africa at the
very least.

Biological agents directed at crops.  If I wanted to clobber China I wouldn't
use nukes.  I'd fill my warheads with some kind of rice blight.  So much for
China, and the rest of Asia.

Biological agents directed at people.  Look at the flu epidemic of 1919-1920.
 This killed 20 million people in North America alone.  These people were for
the most part healthy and had all their material needs taken care of such as
a balanced diet and housing.  Picture this bug, "on steriods" from the lab,
attacking a population in general poor health after the war.

Many targets in the Southern hemisphere will get hit by nukes.  The ANZACS
will take their lumps for being our allies.  Many other resources such as oil
fields easilly accessible to one power, i.e. Mexican and Venezualan ones,
will get hammered to prevent their use.  If I was the Soviet Union I'd pop
South Africa just to ensure that they don't reestablish Apartied and take
over the rest of the continent, there really not being much to stop them.  As
a potentially hostile potential nuclear power South Africa will get hit by
Soviet made missiles.

The Soviet Union or its successor states might hit most of the world's great
seaports to prevent their use by US naval forces.

Without the web of first and second world based medical technology diseases
that are easilly treatable will run rampant.  I mentioned AIDS before.  I'll
mention it again.  It can lay dormant for years, it infects mothers and their
unborn children.  Two of the ways to prevent it, celibacy and condoms also
prevent conception, further reducing the population by reducing any growth
rate.  The third method is monogamy, which in the immediate aftermath of the
war may not be effective, since many people will be carrying the virus and
not be aware of it.  It is believed that AIDS in Africa may be carried by 25%
or more of the population.  Thailand may be much higher.  Modern technology
can get a grip on this, once the war happens forget it.

95 to 99% may be a conservative estimate.

Terry