Re: High Tech/New Tech

[Bill Garmer <bgarmer@tsc.net>]

Randy Voice wrote
>BG> In SA, right now, you have people stealing cargo containers for housing.
>BG> Living in simple huts.  Look over the border at El Paseo or San Diego
>BG> were
>BG> the people are relatively well off.  And then ask people who have visited
>BG> the rural parts of SA countries.  I have friends who were a husband-wife
>BG> freelance new teams for CNN and the stories they tell are amazing.  They
>BG> saw Americans in rural areas attacked for looking at children because the
>BG> natives believe that American took their children for organ transplants
>BG> (actually I did not believe that one until I found the same story on the
>BG> net).
>
>Life is pretty cheap down there and not all US citizens are loved.  Then
>again, I'm sure we could find the same as your above example in the fIron
>Curtain.

My point is that a healthy modern economy can not develop in such a place.  The USSR got away with it for a short time by exploiting its natural resources and military might to subjugate its citizenery.  This still required an "outside threat."  Now take S/C America after the bang.  No major resources, lack of an effective central government, etc.  There is a couple of potential bright spots.  First is Chilie (as you mentioned) but a free, modern ecomony growing in isolation is difficult to foresee.  A second is Africa.  Resource are in a bounty and the Republic of SA is right accross the pond.  It has the expertise required by SA and needs the oil so a good match in trade could be made.  But given this, the project would be doomed.  After all you now have a strong SA/Africa that will not want to see the revival of one of the biggest guest at the big party.  They probably would have moved in with colonies long ago to "mine" the left over technologies and resources in the North.

Bill

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William R. Garmer
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